AQDiff

Adaptive Quantile Diffusion (AQDiff) Showcase

About AQDiff

AQDiff tackles real-world time series forecasting—particularly in high-stakes domains like pandemic prediction. It leverages diffusion models to produce probabilistic forecasts, and continuously recalibrates those forecasts based on recent residual errors. By adaptively shifting the target quantile parameter, the model refines its predictions and maintains more stable uncertainty bounds.

In essence, AQDiff helps:

  • Capture complex temporal dynamics with diffusion
  • Adapt forecasts in real-time through an adaptive quantile equation
  • Improve forecast reliability for applications like epidemiological modeling.

The Paper was submitted to the Knowledge Discovery Dataset conference. The Print of the paper is available here

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layout: page title: project description: a project with a background image img: /assets/img/AQDiff.png —

Caption photos easily. On the left, a road goes through a tunnel. Middle, leaves artistically fall in a hipster photoshoot. Right, in another hipster photoshoot, a lumberjack grasps a handful of pine needles.
This image can also have a caption. It's like magic.

You can also put regular text between your rows of images, even citations (missing reference). Say you wanted to write a bit about your project before you posted the rest of the images. You describe how you toiled, sweated, bled for your project, and then… you reveal its glory in the next row of images.

You can also have artistically styled 2/3 + 1/3 images, like these.

The code is simple. Just wrap your images with <div class="col-sm"> and place them inside <div class="row"> (read more about the Bootstrap Grid system). To make images responsive, add img-fluid class to each; for rounded corners and shadows use rounded and z-depth-1 classes. Here’s the code for the last row of images above:

<div class="row justify-content-sm-center">
  <div class="col-sm-8 mt-3 mt-md-0">
    {% include figure.liquid path="assets/img/6.jpg" title="example image" class="img-fluid rounded z-depth-1" %}
  </div>
  <div class="col-sm-4 mt-3 mt-md-0">
    {% include figure.liquid path="assets/img/11.jpg" title="example image" class="img-fluid rounded z-depth-1" %}
  </div>
</div>

References